Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.285385 0.334180 0.385790 0.444158 0.508050 0.575594 0.652125
2025-01-26 0.221235 0.288388 0.364130 0.454725 0.559003 0.674208 0.810044
2025-02-02 0.175871 0.254360 0.348375 0.466517 0.608342 0.770654 0.967992
2025-02-09 0.134756 0.217651 0.323252 0.462454 0.636189 0.841363 1.097493
2025-02-16 0.108064 0.194196 0.310404 0.470196 0.676306 0.926053 1.244463
2025-02-23 0.083860 0.169308 0.291758 0.467382 0.701188 0.991366 1.368490
2025-03-02 0.060500 0.140507 0.263409 0.447965 0.701936 1.024922 1.452777
2025-03-09 0.048244 0.126674 0.254376 0.453271 0.734012 1.097605 1.586034
2025-03-16 0.035592 0.108803 0.236511 0.443746 0.744443 1.141487 1.682696
2025-03-23 0.030389 0.103859 0.238357 0.462689 0.794086 1.237093 1.846518
2025-03-30 0.023287 0.092788 0.228367 0.462468 0.816002 1.295685 1.962822
2025-04-06 0.017721 0.083236 0.219552 0.462942 0.838201 1.354406 2.079536
2025-04-13 0.014158 0.077619 0.217459 0.474362 0.877327 1.437900 2.231727
2025-04-20 0.011612 0.073828 0.218275 0.490348 0.923442 1.531671 2.398818
2025-04-27 0.009426 0.070162 0.218801 0.505649 0.968725 1.624900 2.566327
2025-05-04 0.006534 0.062212 0.209336 0.503036 0.986343 1.679464 2.682291
2025-05-11 0.004894 0.057875 0.206861 0.512191 1.021980 1.759673 2.833652
2025-05-18 0.003173 0.051332 0.198347 0.509773 1.039119 1.813519 2.949429
2025-05-25 0.001509 0.041859 0.180958 0.489520 1.026833 1.824380 3.005843
2025-06-01 0.000926 0.038371 0.177692 0.495325 1.056214 1.895658 3.146120
2025-06-08 0.000369 0.032476 0.166748 0.485329 1.059175 1.928013 3.232305
2025-06-15 0.000257 0.032041 0.170984 0.505474 1.112265 2.034751 3.423344
2025-06-22 0.000086 0.028480 0.165353 0.505274 1.131199 2.090939 3.543775